SAP ABAP Data Element PROG56 (Forecast model selection using procedure 2)
Hierarchy
BBPCRM (Software Component) BBPCRM
   CRM (Application Component) Customer Relationship Management
     CRM_APPLICATION (Package) All CRM Components Without Special Structure Packages
       MCP2 (Package) R/3 application development: Sales & Operations Planning
Basic Data
Data Element PROG56
Short Description Forecast model selection using procedure 2  
Data Type
Category of Dictionary Type D   Domain
Type of Object Referenced     No Information
Domain / Name of Reference Type XFLAG    
Data Type CHAR   Character String 
Length 1    
Decimal Places 0    
Output Length 1    
Value Table      
Further Characteristics
Search Help: Name    
Search Help: Parameters    
Parameter ID   
Default Component name    
Change document    
No Input History    
Basic direction is set to LTR    
No BIDI Filtering    
Field Label
  Length  Field Label  
Short 10 Proc. 2 
Medium 18 Selection proc. 2 
Long 24 Model selection proc. 2 
Heading 37 Forecast model sel. using procedure 2 
Documentation

Definition

You can choose between two procedures for automatic forecast model selection.

Procedure 1

The system carries out statistical tests and determines whether a trend or a seasonal pattern applies. In the trend test, the system subjects the historical data to a regression analysis and checks to see whether there is a significant trend pattern. In the seasonal test, the system clears the historical data of any possible trends and carries out an autocorrelation test.

Procedure 2

The system calculates the models to be tested using various combinations for alpha, beta, and gamma. The smoothing factors are also varied between 0.1 and 0.5 in intervals of 0.1. The system then chooses the model which displays the lowest mean absolute deviation (MAD). Procedure 2 is more precise than procedure 1, but takes much longer.

Procedure

To use procedure 2, set forecast strategy 56 in the forecast profile.

Moreover, if you run the forecast online and set Automatic model selection in the Model Selection dialog box, a further dialog box appears in which you can set procedure 2 as one of your forecast parameters.

History
Last changed by/on SAP  19980218 
SAP Release Created in